五色令 & 轻松跟庄 · 信号点迭代报告

2026-09-26 | cache2 全池 5,384 只 | 2014-01-01~2026-09-18 | K=10 槽等权 · 次日开盘 · cost=0.001 | 无门控 / 有门控 双口径分别迭代
✅ 口径校验:五色令-生产复现 21.51% / -25.1% / 0.856(464 笔)| 组合/信号重组迭代(§十一、§十二)锚点同口径复现 ✓
21.51%五色令·生产(维持)
22.18%五色令最优变体(不稳健)
10.24%轻松跟庄最优候选(mom+time60)
15.30%基准:全池等权死拿

一、结论速览

1. 五色令(生产)无更优买卖点:全维度迭代(买点执行/卖点/选槽/门槛/K槽/确认/止损)× 双口径后,有门控下生产配置 21.51%/-25.1%/0.856 仍最优;唯一微增益 gapwait5+WZ84=22.18%(+0.67pp)经随机选槽×3(均值≈基准)与年代分层(增益仅集中在 2020+)检验后不成立。无门控下生产仅 -0.09%,最优变体 yang=13.94% 仍低于基准 15.30%。→ 生产配置保持不动。
2. 轻松跟庄迭代有改善但不达标:最优候选 mom+time60@on_qs 10.24%(种子 10.5~17.0%,Calmar 0.34~0.40);yang@on_ws 11.56%(种子 5.3~8.0%,不稳健);delay@off 9.10%(种子 -0.3~12.3%,不稳健)。全部低于基准 15.30% 与五色令 21.51%。→ 不进生产;若继续挖掘,方向 = mom+time60 + 市场门控。
3. 数据校正:旧对比脚本 QS 侧 store 覆盖丢失缺陷已修复并重跑(§十),QS_nat 校正为 2.78%/-71.5%/283笔;WS 侧与 QS_t20 不受影响。
4. 组合/信号重组(五色令主 × 轻松跟庄辅)无增益(§十一、§十二):固定重组(叠加/确认/补位)与全网格重组(买点/卖点/门控/选槽)全部不敌生产 21.51%;结构原因:WS 候选日 ⊂ QS 深水状态(100% zhuli<-25,深度/排序类重组全部 no-op)、QS 高抛 ⊂ WS exitw(仅 1 笔差异),有区分度的金叉/下穿事件重组均为负贡献。→ 维持单一策略。

二、五色令 · 有门控(P95)全量迭代

家族变体年化MDDCalmar笔胜率单笔均持在场止损
买点执行open(基准)21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.350.6%137
买点执行gapwait g=2% w=319.69%-28.75%0.68545663.8%+5.88%20.250.1%138
买点执行gapwait g=3% w=320.04%-28.28%0.70945964.1%+5.84%20.450.1%138
买点执行gapwait g=5% w=321.69%-25.14%0.86346364.8%+6.24%20.350.6%136
买点执行pullback p=1% w=313.01%-35.20%0.37040661.1%+4.59%19.849.7%136
买点执行pullback p=2% w=313.73%-35.66%0.38537260.8%+5.19%19.647.9%126
买点执行pullback p=3% w=313.45%-33.80%0.39834562.6%+5.53%19.446.8%117
买点执行pullback p=2% w=513.40%-35.66%0.37638261.0%+4.97%19.950.1%127
卖点/离场止损 无19.67%-37.83%0.52037170.1%+6.99%26.447.2%0
卖点/离场止损 15%19.20%-35.29%0.54444967.0%+5.84%21.849.6%108
卖点/离场持30日20.45%-25.52%0.80147463.5%+5.79%19.045.8%131
卖点/离场持60日18.92%-28.07%0.67445663.6%+5.66%21.353.9%149
卖点/离场持999日(纯exitw)18.64%-28.07%0.66445563.3%+5.60%21.757.1%153
卖点/离场加exit2(or2)21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.350.6%137
卖点/离场exitw WZ80/BD6521.74%-25.12%0.86647466.2%+6.05%18.947.8%137
卖点/离场exitw WZ80/BD7021.73%-25.12%0.86547466.2%+6.04%19.048.0%137
卖点/离场exitw WZ80/BD7521.73%-25.12%0.86547466.2%+6.04%19.048.0%137
卖点/离场exitw WZ85/BD6521.50%-25.14%0.85546464.7%+6.18%20.250.0%137
卖点/离场exitw WZ85/BD7021.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.350.6%137
卖点/离场exitw WZ85/BD7521.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.350.6%137
卖点/离场exitw WZ90/BD6520.89%-26.32%0.79445361.4%+6.21%22.151.8%139
卖点/离场exitw WZ90/BD7020.11%-29.12%0.69145061.1%+6.01%22.452.4%138
卖点/离场exitw WZ90/BD7520.29%-28.77%0.70545061.1%+6.06%22.552.5%138
卖点/离场exitw+warn115.31%-25.68%0.59652264.2%+4.07%13.741.3%139
选槽rank df(基准)21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.350.6%137
选槽rank sd_deep21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.350.6%137
选槽rank sd_shallow21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.350.6%137
选槽rank random s019.12%-40.88%0.46847860.3%+5.67%19.249.2%166
选槽rank random s118.07%-45.14%0.40048059.0%+5.52%19.052.5%173
选槽rank random s216.88%-38.03%0.44446860.9%+5.14%20.452.4%159
买点门槛SD8_DF4 (门控固定SD10口径)16.70%-26.86%0.62246063.3%+5.03%20.549.4%141
买点门槛SD9_DF4 (门控固定SD10口径)18.24%-26.37%0.69245964.1%+5.42%20.549.5%138
买点门槛SD11_DF4 (门控固定SD10口径)0.00%0.00%—0———0.0%0
买点门槛SD12_DF4 (门控固定SD10口径)0.00%0.00%—0———0.0%0
买点门槛SD10_DF5 (门控固定SD10口径)12.83%-28.63%0.44819566.2%+9.32%19.736.0%54
组合base(基准)21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.350.6%137
组合gapwait821.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.350.6%137
组合WZ7820.25%-25.35%0.79947666.4%+5.66%18.647.7%137
组合WZ8221.70%-25.12%0.86447066.0%+6.11%19.549.4%136
组合gapwait5+WZ8021.98%-25.12%0.87547366.4%+6.11%19.048.0%136
组合gapwait5+WZ80+hold3019.84%-26.15%0.75948064.6%+5.52%18.144.5%135
组合WZ80+hold3019.54%-26.15%0.74848164.4%+5.45%18.144.5%136
组合gapwait5+WZ8422.18%-25.11%0.88346565.6%+6.31%20.049.7%135
补测SD10_DF4_t6b13.14%-35.08%0.37543459.9%+4.32%19.449.1%143
补测SD10_DF60.00%0.00%—0———0.0%0
K槽位K517.03%-40.67%0.41923262.1%+5.37%19.945.6%73
K槽位K1517.83%-33.21%0.53770062.1%+5.20%19.951.8%222
K槽位K10(基准)21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.350.6%137
买点确认yang(收盘>前收)11.02%-33.02%0.33424062.9%+6.71%19.336.3%74
买点确认ma5(站上5日线)0.00%0.00%—0———0.0%0
止损变体trail1012.52%-42.85%0.29257450.9%+3.14%14.446.7%342
止损变体fixed12+trail1012.52%-42.85%0.29257450.9%+3.14%14.446.7%342
止损变体fixed12+be517.05%-31.37%0.54452150.3%+4.46%16.647.2%259
止损变体fixed813.56%-39.15%0.34655148.8%+3.62%15.948.6%269
止损变体fixed12+be5+trail1013.25%-43.82%0.30259546.9%+3.16%13.445.3%381

三、五色令 · 无门控 全量迭代

家族变体年化MDDCalmar笔胜率单笔均持在场止损
买点执行open(基准)-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.792.3%457
买点执行gapwait g=2% w=30.56%-69.89%0.008103148.5%+0.65%19.892.5%450
买点执行gapwait g=3% w=3-0.51%-69.36%-0.007103148.1%+0.53%19.892.1%450
买点执行gapwait g=5% w=30.18%-69.26%0.003104248.2%+0.62%19.692.2%457
买点执行pullback p=1% w=3-0.46%-69.67%-0.007100648.9%+0.50%19.991.5%442
买点执行pullback p=2% w=3-0.01%-67.35%-0.00099047.9%+0.49%19.292.3%449
买点执行pullback p=3% w=33.86%-66.94%0.05894951.0%+1.14%19.492.3%413
买点执行pullback p=2% w=51.41%-67.40%0.02199549.2%+0.65%19.392.4%440
卖点/离场止损 无-2.50%-82.81%-0.03072053.6%+0.31%29.391.5%0
卖点/离场止损 15%1.89%-70.72%0.02795252.2%+0.91%21.792.6%335
卖点/离场持30日2.43%-68.09%0.036109748.5%+0.81%18.392.2%438
卖点/离场持60日0.32%-70.17%0.004101049.7%+0.64%20.792.3%463
卖点/离场持999日(纯exitw)1.08%-70.02%0.015100650.0%+0.78%20.992.9%467
卖点/离场加exit2(or2)-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.792.3%457
卖点/离场exitw WZ80/BD65-1.26%-68.54%-0.018106649.2%+0.39%18.891.4%464
卖点/离场exitw WZ80/BD70-1.26%-68.54%-0.018106649.2%+0.39%18.891.4%464
卖点/离场exitw WZ80/BD75-1.26%-68.54%-0.018106649.2%+0.39%18.891.4%464
卖点/离场exitw WZ85/BD650.08%-69.02%0.001104248.0%+0.60%19.792.2%457
卖点/离场exitw WZ85/BD70-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.792.3%457
卖点/离场exitw WZ85/BD75-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.792.3%457
卖点/离场exitw WZ90/BD655.88%-64.77%0.091100948.1%+1.41%20.893.3%439
卖点/离场exitw WZ90/BD701.98%-68.41%0.02999947.1%+0.91%21.193.5%438
卖点/离场exitw WZ90/BD750.98%-68.36%0.014100046.7%+0.77%21.193.5%442
卖点/离场exitw+warn1-7.09%-86.37%-0.082130151.9%-0.31%13.787.0%519
选槽rank df(基准)-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.792.3%457
选槽rank sd_deep-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.792.3%457
选槽rank sd_shallow-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.792.3%457
选槽rank random s02.20%-72.23%0.030108148.8%+0.87%18.991.3%490
选槽rank random s15.64%-64.35%0.088105548.9%+1.25%19.591.3%460
选槽rank random s21.73%-71.32%0.024107448.1%+0.78%19.293.1%471
买点门槛SD8_DF4 (门控自口径)-4.02%-75.11%-0.054111747.8%+0.11%19.692.4%487
买点门槛SD9_DF4 (门控自口径)-5.47%-78.20%-0.070110947.6%-0.06%19.692.3%489
买点门槛SD11_DF4 (门控自口径)0.00%0.00%—0———0.0%0
买点门槛SD12_DF4 (门控自口径)0.00%0.00%—0———0.0%0
买点门槛SD10_DF5 (门控自口径)4.28%-60.49%0.07160449.0%+1.66%19.477.6%267
组合base(基准)-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.792.3%457
组合gapwait80.14%-69.26%0.002104048.1%+0.61%19.792.3%456
组合WZ78-0.44%-67.01%-0.007108549.7%+0.49%18.390.9%468
组合WZ82-0.01%-66.83%-0.000106248.8%+0.58%19.092.1%461
组合gapwait5+WZ80-1.19%-69.09%-0.017106949.3%+0.41%18.791.2%465
组合gapwait5+WZ80+hold30-1.21%-74.63%-0.016111148.3%+0.39%17.791.2%448
组合WZ80+hold30-0.17%-71.89%-0.002111148.7%+0.49%17.791.4%446
组合gapwait5+WZ840.74%-70.07%0.011104548.5%+0.68%19.592.1%455
补测SD10_DF4_t6b1.19%-63.66%0.01988549.7%+0.82%18.792.9%380
补测SD10_DF6-0.16%-2.01%-0.07910.0%-20.11%4.00.1%1
K槽位K5-7.01%-89.24%-0.07957746.4%-0.27%18.890.9%263
K槽位K153.00%-61.63%0.049148149.4%+0.97%19.692.8%637
K槽位K10(基准)-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.792.3%457
买点确认yang(收盘>前收)13.94%-49.54%0.28163254.0%+3.39%19.880.9%248
买点确认ma5(站上5日线)0.00%0.00%—0———0.0%0
止损变体trail10-0.89%-72.03%-0.012139041.9%+0.36%14.191.1%933
止损变体fixed12+trail10-0.89%-72.03%-0.012139041.9%+0.36%14.191.1%933
止损变体fixed12+be55.83%-67.66%0.086124740.7%+1.00%15.791.0%743
止损变体fixed8-1.40%-70.83%-0.020127239.9%+0.33%15.792.2%734
止损变体fixed12+be5+trail102.48%-71.08%0.035144940.2%+0.54%13.290.6%1017

四、五色令 · 稳健性(随机选槽×3 / 年代分层,有门控)

配置s0s1s2均值
base(基准)19.12%18.07%16.88%18.02%
gapwait819.51%16.96%17.00%17.82%
WZ8019.56%16.08%17.36%17.66%
gapwait5+WZ8019.06%18.38%17.59%18.34%
配置2014-20162017-20192020-20222023-2026
base(基准)8.32%19.45%35.83%23.56%
gapwait88.32%19.45%35.83%23.56%
WZ806.56%17.56%36.97%26.79%
gapwait5+WZ806.56%17.56%36.97%27.69%
基准随机选槽为 19.12%/18.07%/16.88%(均值 18.02%)——即"选槽随机性"本身即 ±1.1pp 量级;各变体均值相对基准无稳定增益。年代分层:WZ80/组合 的增益全部来自 2020-2022(+1.1pp)与 2023-2026(+3.2~4.1pp),2014-2019 为负。

五、轻松跟庄 · 无门控 全量迭代

家族变体年化MDDCalmar笔胜率单笔均持在场止损
BKraw@off2.78%-71.46%0.03928358.7%+2.56%105.699.8%
BKd12@off5.32%-71.03%0.07529358.4%+3.50%102.399.8%
BKd15@off5.21%-77.13%0.06827857.9%+3.48%107.199.8%
BKd20@off1.34%-80.59%0.01728056.4%+1.79%105.799.8%
BKreb@off4.80%-83.09%0.05829261.3%+3.11%101.799.9%
BKyang@off4.99%-81.67%0.06130261.9%+3.23%98.499.9%
BKrsi25@off3.64%-63.70%0.05725658.6%+3.87%111.999.8%
BKsd8@off-4.15%-80.17%-0.05223852.5%-0.35%116.199.1%
BKma60@off6.53%-62.91%0.10429659.1%+4.35%100.799.8%
BKdelay@off9.10%-62.13%0.14728762.4%+5.09%103.199.8%
BKmom@off5.50%-53.30%0.10338658.3%+2.37%77.599.9%
BKcombo@off-0.01%-71.27%-0.00022050.0%+2.19%123.599.0%
BKbothlow@off2.78%-71.46%0.03928358.7%+2.56%105.699.8%
Craw@off2.78%-71.46%0.03928358.7%+2.56%105.699.8%
Cdelay@off9.10%-62.13%0.14728762.4%+5.09%103.199.8%
Cdelay+stop15@off6.84%-63.26%0.10851555.5%+2.61%57.799.8%
Cdelay+stop8@off2.71%-64.25%0.04267441.1%+1.21%41.199.8%
Cd15@off5.21%-77.13%0.06827857.9%+3.48%107.199.8%
Cd15+stop15@off2.03%-73.43%0.02844351.7%+1.53%61.499.9%

六、轻松跟庄 · 有门控 全量迭代

QS 自口径门控(P95, 该买点自身计数)

家族变体年化MDDCalmar笔胜率单笔均持在场止损
BKraw@on_qs3.32%-52.91%0.06324060.8%+2.29%107.695.4%
BKd12@on_qs3.39%-53.29%0.06423960.3%+2.34%108.095.8%
BKd15@on_qs6.11%-53.48%0.11423961.9%+3.81%108.195.8%
BKd20@on_qs2.93%-54.62%0.05423258.6%+2.13%108.094.7%
BKreb@on_qs2.88%-51.92%0.05523661.0%+2.10%109.395.8%
BKyang@on_qs5.22%-53.83%0.09723861.8%+3.45%108.895.8%
BKrsi25@on_qs2.03%-61.32%0.03319158.6%+2.58%120.992.6%
BKsd8@on_qs8.74%-57.51%0.15218159.7%+7.12%115.691.9%
BKma60@on_qs2.98%-53.29%0.05620661.7%+2.52%114.691.9%
BKdelay@on_qs3.05%-49.59%0.06124361.3%+2.04%105.796.6%
BKmom@on_qs8.06%-37.29%0.21628466.2%+3.97%82.496.4%
BKcombo@on_qs6.98%-54.67%0.12819259.4%+5.59%115.095.3%
BKbothlow@on_qs3.32%-52.91%0.06324060.8%+2.29%107.695.4%
Cmom@on_qs8.06%-37.29%0.21628466.2%+3.97%82.496.4%
Cmom+time60@on_qs10.24%-30.05%0.34144363.2%+3.44%38.686.4%
Cmom+time40@on_qs9.32%-27.79%0.33553758.1%+2.65%28.681.5%
Cmom+trail12@on_qs6.79%-34.09%0.19946755.5%+2.35%36.791.8%
Cmom+stop15@on_qs4.97%-44.67%0.11137260.5%+2.12%56.696.4%

五色令口径门控(SD≥10 计数 P95)

家族变体年化MDDCalmar笔胜率单笔均持在场止损
BKraw@on_ws9.97%-61.77%0.16118966.1%+7.25%103.295.7%
BKd12@on_ws10.79%-61.77%0.17518766.8%+7.90%105.095.7%
BKd15@on_ws10.74%-61.77%0.17418367.2%+8.03%107.695.7%
BKd20@on_ws11.03%-56.16%0.19618267.6%+8.25%107.995.7%
BKreb@on_ws9.87%-46.05%0.21418364.5%+7.33%104.889.5%
BKyang@on_ws11.56%-45.63%0.25318565.4%+8.39%104.892.1%
BKrsi25@on_ws4.45%-55.77%0.08017463.2%+4.18%115.092.8%
BKsd8@on_ws6.14%-57.03%0.10817061.8%+6.08%122.395.5%
BKma60@on_ws8.46%-53.32%0.15918065.0%+6.84%111.296.1%
BKdelay@on_ws4.58%-57.26%0.08020162.7%+3.69%102.092.2%
BKmom@on_ws3.57%-50.40%0.07121754.8%+2.82%85.694.1%
BKcombo@on_ws7.26%-54.01%0.13415962.9%+7.19%117.191.9%
BKbothlow@on_ws9.97%-61.77%0.16118966.1%+7.25%103.295.7%
Cyang@on_ws11.56%-45.63%0.25318565.4%+8.39%104.892.1%
Cd15@on_ws10.74%-61.77%0.17418367.2%+8.03%107.695.7%
Cyang+stop15@on_ws6.05%-48.76%0.12429154.0%+3.34%62.389.4%
Cd15+stop15@on_ws10.39%-39.17%0.26528659.8%+5.53%61.091.8%

七、轻松跟庄 · 稳健性

配置s0s1s2均值
delay+stop15@off5.06%12.29%-0.32%5.68%
mom+time60@on_qs17.02%10.51%14.44%13.99%
yang@on_ws7.53%5.34%7.98%6.95%
d15@on_ws0.55%6.14%8.65%5.11%
配置2014-20162017-20192020-20222023-2026
delay+stop15@off13.58%-10.59%22.49%5.35%
mom+time60@on_qs34.32%-1.22%14.04%6.82%
yang@on_ws9.93%0.06%21.32%12.73%
d15@on_ws3.56%0.68%24.75%13.37%
yang@on_ws 确定性口径 11.56%,但随机选槽 7.53/5.34/7.98 → 不稳健;d15@on_ws 0.55/6.14/8.65 波动极大;mom+time60@on_qs 10.51/14.44/17.02 相对稳定但仍有 ±3pp 量级。年代分层:mom+time60 在 2017-19 熊市 -1.22%(其余段为正)。

八、机制洞察(数字)

• 五色令买点本质是接刀:48,602 个候选日中仅 8.3%(4,051)收盘高于前收;站上 5 日线 0 个(0/48,602)。阳线确认在无门控下 -0.09%→13.94%(+14pp),有门控下 21.51%→11.02%(-10.5pp)。
• 门控是收益主体:五色令去门控 -0.09%;无门控全部变体上限 13.94% < 基准 15.30%。
• 轻松跟庄卖点稀缺:卖点 132,329 ≈ 买点 502,059 的 26%;自然版均持 105.6 天;2017-19 熊市无防御 → MDD -71.5%;rev/both 卖点年频 253 笔、年化 -11%。
• QS 买点增益方向:深超跌(d12/d15/d20)与确认类(mom/yang/delay)优于 raw;与五色令门控组合后 yang 11.56% / d20 11.03% / d15 10.74%。

九、持仓层(用户持仓 6 只,2014~2026,小样本)

家族配置年化MDDCalmar笔胜率单笔
WSbase@on(生产)2.33%-19.87%0.1172781.5%+11.18%
WSgapwait5+WZ84@on2.39%-19.87%0.1202781.5%+11.45%
WSbase@off1.93%-19.87%0.0972972.4%+8.67%
WSyang@off0.54%-1.05%0.5123100.0%+23.06%
QSraw@off6.83%-30.48%0.22410167.3%+9.20%
QSdelay@off7.02%-30.34%0.23210167.3%+9.39%
QSmom+time60@on_qs3.47%-27.26%0.1278365.1%+5.62%
QSyang@on_ws1.87%-18.95%0.0992259.1%+11.44%
QSd15@on_ws4.46%-21.55%0.2073366.7%+18.81%
持仓池仅 6 只(sz300820 英杰电气 / sz301611 珂玛科技 / sh600584 长电科技 / sz002156 通富微电 / sz002436 兴森科技 / sh603179 新泉股份),K=10 槽位无约束、样本小;ETF(159259/159558)不在 cache2。持仓层上 QS 组合反而优于 WS 生产口径(6.8~7.0% vs 2.3%),主因 WS 的候选在 6 只标的里过少(66 事件)——再次说明 WS 收益依赖全市场选股广度。

十、校正说明(旧对比脚本缺陷与重跑)

缺陷:旧脚本 QSStore 用「类级 _done + 首次 get 覆盖」注入 QS 字段;引擎缓存上限 400(全池 5,384),淘汰后重载新建 dict 时覆盖不再执行 → 引擎读到 cache2 内置的 LXXG exitw(实测 sh600009 卖点与 cache2 exitw 逐日吻合)。即旧 QS 回测的"卖点离场"大部分用的是五色令 exitw。
修复:改 dict 级标记(if '_qs_ok' not in d),淘汰重载必重新覆盖;qs_vs_wuseling.py / qs_robust.py / iter_regress.py 已修复重跑,基线重锚(WS 21.51%/464笔,QS 2.78%/283笔)。
影响:仅 QS 侧 exitw 相关数字变化;WS 与 QS_t20 不变。结论方向不变,败因更正为"卖点稀缺 → 长持 → 熊市深亏"。
方案旧年化旧MDD旧笔旧均持新年化新MDD新笔新均持
QS_nat 轻松跟庄·自然2.41%-64.0%99329.42.78%-71.5%283105.6
QS_aligned 同约束(12%止损+40日)1.47%-62.0%153118.80.68%-58.6%95830.7
QS_t20 持20日-1.13%-65.8%143819.9-1.13%-65.8%143819.9
WS_prod 五色令·生产21.51%-25.1%46420.321.51%-25.1%46420.3

十一、组合迭代(五色令主 × 轻松跟庄辅)

命题:以五色令为主、轻松跟庄为辅,组合能否优化买卖点?口径同前(全池 5,384 只,2014-01~2026-09,K=10,次日开盘,cost=0.001,12%止损+40日上限+exitw WZ85/BD70;门控=P95 win380,WS 口径计数)。锚点校验:ws_base@on 复现 21.51%/-25.1%/464笔 ✓。

CS · 卖点组合(WS exitw + QS 辅助离场)

变体门控年化MDDCalmar笔胜率单笔均持止损
ws_base无门控-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.7457
ws_base有门控21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.3137
ws+qs_rsi85无门控-0.08%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.7457
ws+qs_rsi85有门控21.52%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.19%20.2137
ws+qs_rev无门控-6.36%-84.12%-0.076146648.2%-0.19%12.0391
ws+qs_rev有门控10.80%-35.48%0.30456856.2%+2.71%11.6116
ws+qs_both无门控-6.36%-84.12%-0.076146648.2%-0.19%12.0391
ws+qs_both有门控10.77%-35.48%0.30456856.2%+2.71%11.6116
qs_rsi85_only无门控-3.18%-69.83%-0.04686442.0%+0.19%26.4397
qs_rsi85_only有门控13.76%-32.59%0.42241356.4%+4.84%29.0139
qs_rev_only无门控-6.09%-82.02%-0.074145748.6%-0.18%12.2388
qs_rev_only有门控10.29%-35.93%0.28656856.0%+2.60%11.8117

CB · 买点组合(WS 买点 + QS 辅助确认/补位)

变体门控年化MDDCalmar笔胜率单笔均持止损
+qs_raw5无门控4.52%-68.69%0.06691148.7%+1.21%19.2404
+qs_raw5有门控14.31%-34.01%0.42143058.1%+4.79%19.9147
+qs_d15_5无门控5.78%-69.08%0.08489649.0%+1.31%19.3394
+qs_d15_5有门控15.03%-34.01%0.44243058.4%+5.00%20.0146
+qs_bothlow5无门控4.52%-68.69%0.06691148.7%+1.21%19.2404
+qs_bothlow5有门控14.31%-34.01%0.42143058.1%+4.79%19.9147
pool(WS主+QS补位)无门控4.08%-70.48%0.058153753.6%+0.70%18.7507
pool(WS主+QS补位)有门控17.15%-29.36%0.58447860.9%+4.98%20.1150
结论:组合无增益,维持单一策略。
① QS 高抛(RSI6>85 回落)与 WS exitw 几乎完全重叠:@on 21.51%→21.52%(464 笔中仅 1 笔差异)——QS 高抛从未先于 WS 离场触发。
② QS 下穿散户作辅助离场 = 中途下车:均持 20.3→11.6 天,@on 21.51%→10.80%(-10.7pp),MDD 恶化至 -35.5%。
③ 去掉 WS exitw、仅用 QS 卖点:@on 13.76%(-7.8pp)。
④ QS 金叉确认(信号前 5 日内出现 QS 超卖区金叉)在有门控下是重复过滤:事件 43,166→13,981,@on 21.51%→14.31%(-7.2pp)。
⑤ 无门控下 QS 确认可部分替代门控:-0.09%→+4.52%(d15 版 +5.78%)——但远低于生产 21.51%,即"没门控时有点用、有门控时纯属多余"。
⑥ QS 补位(WS 主 df+10 优先、QS raw 填槽)@on 17.15%(-4.4pp):QS 信号质量低,稀释槽位。
⑦ QS raw/d15/bothlow 结构性近等价(bothlow 与 raw 在 2,000 只抽样中 100% 全等),不构成独立辅助。
机制:两套系统的离场逻辑互斥——WS 需「持到离场信号」(均持 20.3 天),QS 下穿 = 提前退出(11.6 天);QS 高抛与 WS exitw 触发点几乎同源(同属冲高回落),叠加无增量信息。

十二、信号重组全网格迭代(组合系统整体)

对象:把两指标信号重组后的单一系统作为迭代对象(WS 为框架,QS 信号重组进 买点/卖点/门控/选槽 四个层面),全池 5,384 只,锚点 ws_base@on 复现 21.51%/-25.1%/464笔 ✓。

RB · 买点重组

变体门控年化MDDCalmar笔胜率单笔均持止损
ws_base(基准)无门控-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.7457
ws_base(基准)有门控21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.3137
同日共现 WS∧QS金叉无门控8.52%-49.75%0.17172650.4%+2.10%19.1318
同日共现 WS∧QS金叉有门控8.18%-48.53%0.16929456.8%+4.24%18.3111
QS先确认(前5日)无门控4.52%-68.69%0.06691148.7%+1.21%19.2404
QS先确认(前5日)有门控14.31%-34.01%0.42143058.1%+4.79%19.9147
WS先→QS触发入场无门控3.75%-62.73%0.06098652.6%+1.02%19.3399
WS先→QS触发入场有门控11.52%-34.88%0.33034364.1%+4.75%18.1107
深度过滤 zhuli<-15无门控-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.7457
深度过滤 zhuli<-15有门控21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.3137
深度过滤 zhuli<-20无门控-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.7457
深度过滤 zhuli<-20有门控21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.3137
多重融合(深度+RSI6)无门控0.15%-69.02%0.002104147.9%+0.63%19.7457
多重融合(深度+RSI6)有门控21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.3137
QS补位(WS主+QS填槽)无门控4.08%-70.48%0.058153753.6%+0.70%18.7507
QS补位(WS主+QS填槽)有门控17.15%-29.36%0.58447860.9%+4.98%20.1150

RS · 卖点重组

变体门控年化MDDCalmar笔胜率单笔均持止损
ws_base(exitw)无门控-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.7457
ws_base(exitw)有门控21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.3137
或·高抛无门控-0.08%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.7457
或·高抛有门控21.52%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.19%20.2137
或·下穿无门控-6.36%-84.12%-0.076146648.2%-0.19%12.0391
或·下穿有门控10.80%-35.48%0.30456856.2%+2.71%11.6116
且·高抛无门控-2.72%-70.67%-0.03883240.6%+0.29%27.7382
且·高抛有门控14.74%-32.59%0.45240955.7%+5.30%30.1137
且·下穿无门控-3.56%-70.86%-0.05087942.1%+0.20%25.8403
且·下穿有门控16.04%-38.90%0.41241456.8%+5.52%27.7139
下穿仅盈利≥0无门控-6.43%-84.63%-0.076132155.8%-0.20%14.0506
下穿仅盈利≥0有门控13.90%-35.26%0.39452268.8%+3.69%14.0136
下穿仅盈利≥5%无门控-6.79%-83.87%-0.081120552.2%-0.23%16.0517
下穿仅盈利≥5%有门控16.43%-34.59%0.47550168.3%+4.39%16.0138
高抛仅盈利≥0无门控-0.08%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.7457
高抛仅盈利≥0有门控21.52%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.19%20.2137
双确认 exitw∧(高抛∨下穿)无门控-4.15%-73.22%-0.05788541.6%+0.10%25.5410
双确认 exitw∧(高抛∨下穿)有门控16.08%-38.90%0.41441656.7%+5.49%27.4139

RG · 门控重组(有门控口径)

变体门控年化MDDCalmar笔胜率单笔均持止损
WS门控(基准)有门控21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.3137
QS门控有门控16.78%-34.89%0.48148358.2%+4.92%19.6171
双门控(WS∧QS)有门控3.79%-42.87%0.08813661.0%+4.32%17.647

RR · 选槽重组

变体门控年化MDDCalmar笔胜率单笔均持止损
深度次序(同分内)无门控-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.7457
深度次序(同分内)有门控21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.3137
深度优先无门控-0.09%-69.02%-0.001104147.9%+0.58%19.7457
深度优先有门控21.51%-25.14%0.85646464.7%+6.18%20.3137
结论:全网格重组仍无增益,原因在结构层(两条包含关系)。
① 五色令候选日 ⊂ QS 深水状态:9,665 个抽样 WS 事件 100% 满足 zhuli<-25(深度桶 9/9 全饱和)、99.93% 满足 RSI6<25 → 深度过滤 / 多重融合 / 选槽排序全部退化为 no-op(与基准逐位相同)。
② QS 高抛触发 ⊂ WS exitw 触发:叠加仅改 1 笔(21.52%),无增量。
有区分度的只剩两类事件重组,均使收益下降:金叉触发入场(同日共现 8.18%、QS 先确认 14.31%、WS 先→QS 触发 11.52%——延迟/重复过滤)与下穿离场(或·下穿 10.80%;加"仅盈利≥5%"门槛可挽回至 16.43%,仍 -5.1pp)。
门控重组:QS 门控 16.78%(-4.7pp)、双门控 3.79%(-17.7pp);且(双条件)卖点 14.74 / 16.04 全部更差。
最终判定:维持单一五色令策略;两指标信号重组在数据上无增量信息可挖(状态类信号被包含、事件类信号为负贡献)。

附 · 数据与脚本

引擎 /root/lxxg/engine.py(迭代选项 opt-in,回归校验逐位一致)| 脚本 iter_ws.py / iter_ws2.py / iter_ws3.py / iter_qs.py / iter_qs2.py / iter_hold.py / iter_combo.py / iter_combo2.py | 数据 data/iter_*.json | 校正版对比报告 qs_vs_wuseling_20260926.html

以上为数据分析,不构成投资建议。