完整七轮迭代 × ETF/个股分开

2026-08-26  |  313只  |  19个信号(新旧全量)  |  R1~R7
ETF最优(R3)
105.5%
个股最优(R5)
657.9%
ETF Sharpe
6.10
个股 Sharpe
19.37

核心发现

新指标CTA系列 + xih5 = 超强组合
  • CTA5+CTA7+B1(ETF): 105.5%收益, Sharpe 6.10
  • xih5+CTA3+止损5%(个股): 612.3%收益, Sharpe 19.37
  • 筹码控盘指标(xih5+CTA6+CTA1)个股Sharpe 11.61
  • CTA系列(来自chouma_kongpan)是新指标最大亮点
历史策略 vs 新策略
  • 历史最优: 长虹双渡(58.6%), 乘势低吸(40.1%)
  • 新策略最优: xih5+CTA3(612.3%), CTA5+CTA7+B1(105.5%)
  • 新策略在绝对收益上远超历史策略
  • CTA系列是chouma_kongpan.py中的筹码控盘信号

ETF 七轮研究结果

轮次排名策略收益MDD胜率PLR轮数Sharpe
R11GB 历史36.8%28.4%31.4%3.20591.29
2CTA7 29.7%38.0%40.3%2.28510.83
3CTA6 28.8%41.8%40.0%2.03580.76
4CTA1 27.5%39.8%40.5%2.16550.62
5CTA2 26.8%40.4%40.0%2.00570.69
R21CTA2+CTA3 41.4%38.8%40.0%2.17571.07
2CTA1+CTA7 38.5%37.4%37.5%2.40501.01
3CTA2+CTA7 38.3%37.0%37.5%2.57511.06
4CTA1+CTA5 36.7%34.4%35.8%2.83541.11
5xih5+CTA2 36.5%30.5%45.2%1.94311.00
R31CTA5+CTA7+B1 105.5%17.3%47.8%4.46236.10
2CTA5+CTA7+BBI_std 104.9%28.3%41.2%3.34343.71
3CTA5+CTA7+xihuo 103.9%30.1%40.6%3.49323.45
4CTA5+CTA7+xih5 94.5%30.1%39.4%3.43333.14
5CTA5+CTA7+MX3 89.7%32.4%40.0%3.16352.77
R51CTA2+CTA5_止损8% 91.2%30.8%39.0%2.82522.47
2CTA2+CTA5_卖GS 81.5%32.6%37.8%2.88502.52
3shi+CTA2_止损5% 80.5%36.3%37.1%3.47442.22
4CTA2+CTA5_止损5% 79.2%29.6%37.0%2.89562.97
5shi+CTA2_卖GS 65.9%42.0%37.9%3.21381.57
R61CTA1_强牛 132.1%31.6%46.2%2.38714.39
2B1_强牛 历史128.3%30.6%46.5%2.26763.73
3CTA6_强牛 128.0%29.9%48.1%2.05763.07
4CTA3_强牛 114.1%29.6%46.7%2.13764.85
5CTA2_强牛 113.7%29.9%51.1%2.28744.44

个股 七轮研究结果

轮次排名策略收益MDD胜率PLR轮数Sharpe
R11CTA1 79.4%52.7%41.6%2.34461.60
2CTA3 69.5%53.4%41.3%2.33501.48
3CTA7 67.2%50.0%40.5%2.46421.62
4xih5 历史66.7%47.3%54.2%1.70281.58
5xihuo 历史63.9%46.3%55.0%1.70261.58
R21CTA1+CTA6 78.1%52.4%40.8%2.37461.67
2CTA1+CTA2 76.5%51.5%40.5%2.37461.65
3MX3+CTA1 75.6%50.5%40.7%2.41351.46
4CTA1+CTA3 73.3%52.1%40.7%2.40461.57
5CTA2+CTA3 72.2%52.9%40.5%2.39481.46
R31xih5+CTA6+CTA1 459.6%40.7%57.2%2.924011.61
2xih5+CTA5+BBI_std 354.7%30.5%55.0%3.644011.63
3xih5+CTA5+xihuo 350.1%31.5%51.3%4.013911.10
4xih5+CTA6+MX3 349.3%40.8%56.4%2.70407.29
5xih5+CTA6+CTA3 336.2%43.5%54.2%2.76426.70
R51xih5+CTA3_止损8% 657.9%38.4%49.3%3.383817.17
2xih5+CTA3_止损5% 612.3%31.9%46.4%3.684819.37
3xih5+CTA3_卖GS 508.2%53.0%55.5%3.68289.59
4MX3+CTA2_止损8% 411.2%58.6%38.6%2.681107.44
5CTA1+CTA5_卖zhong 299.2%47.6%52.4%1.591175.37
R61MX3_强牛 历史273.2%58.8%47.6%2.20844.52
2CTA1_强牛 235.7%55.8%42.5%2.68814.77
3CTA3_强牛 225.7%56.9%42.6%2.60864.48
4CTA5_强牛 220.3%56.0%39.1%2.92884.01
5CTA6_强牛 219.9%57.5%43.0%2.56854.08

最终策略建议

ETF 策略库
策略收益MDDSharpe
CTA5+CTA7+B1105.5%17.3%6.10
CTA2+CTA5_止损8%91.2%30.8%2.47
CTA1+CTA738.5%37.4%1.01
GB(单信号)36.8%28.4%1.29
个股 策略库
策略收益MDDSharpe
xih5+CTA3_止损5%612.3%31.9%19.37
xih5+CTA3_止损8%657.9%38.4%17.17
xih5+CTA6+CTA1459.6%40.7%11.61
CTA1+CTA678.1%52.4%1.67

指标说明

4大基础系统: 时空BS(B1/S1) + GS修正链(GB/GS) + 主力全景(xihuo/lahgao/chuhuo/shi/zhong) + 机构活跃度(MX3/MX6/yaog)
BBI: 多空均线金叉(BBI_std) - bbi_vs_gs.py
CTA系列: 筹码控盘指标(CTA1-CTA11) - chouma_kongpan.py
  CTA1=MACD金叉 CTA2=KDJ金叉 CTA3=RSI强势 CTA5=站上BBI CTA6=主力筹码J>M CTA7=多头排列 CTA9=主力>散户 CTA11=8重共振 筹码控盘=CTA11首日
完整七轮迭代 × ETF/个股分开  |  2026-08-26  |  313只A股/ETF